
| Grade of Tumor | I II III |
| Lymph node status | Negative Positive |
| Lymphatic or Vascular Invasion | None Present |

This model predicts risk of post simple mastectomy breast cancer recurrence. The data for this model came from a population with a 23% local recurrence rate.
Three Questions make up this prediction tool:
The points are summed. Recurrence risk is predicted from these 3 items.
| Points | % Recurrence |
|---|---|
| 16 | 8.5% |
| 20 | 12.5% |
| 22 | 15.8% |
| 26 | 10% |
| 28 | 15.5% |
| 32 | 33% |
| 34 | 38.5% |
| 38 | 48% |
References:
O'Rourke S, Galea MH, Morgan D, et. al. Local recurrence after simple mastectomy. Br J Surg. 1994;81(3):386-9.