A prospective study 1 assessed the accuracy of a clinical decision-making instrument in 34,069 patients with blunt trauma who had cervical radiographs taken in 21 centres in the U.S.A. According to the decision-making instrument the probability of cervical injury is small in patients with no
- local midline tenderness
- focal neurological symptoms
- impaired consciousness
- signs of intoxication
- other painful trauma distracting attention from cervical pain.
The decision-making instrument detected all but 8 of the 818 patients with cervical injury (sensitivity 99%, 95% CI 98.0 to 99.6%). The negative predictive value was 99.8%. The specificity was 12.7% and the positive predictive value was 2.7%.
Comment: The quality of evidence is upgraded by large magnitude of effect.
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